Steady As Steady Could Be in North Carolina Democratic Primary:
In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina today, 04/08/08, four weeks
to the 05/06/08 Primary, Barack Obama is 10 points atop Hillary
Clinton, exactly where Obama was two months ago, according to a
SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV, the
ABC-owned TV station in Raleigh. SurveyUSA's interactive tracking
graphs show remarkable stability within the sub-populations. Among men,
over the past 2 months, Obama led
by 18, by 13, and today by 15 points.
Among women, Obama led by 2, by 3, and today by 6 points. Among whites,
Clinton led by 19, by 17, and today by 22 points. Among blacks, Obama
led by 65, by 61, and today by 75 points. Obama has gained ground in
Raleigh, where he led by 8 points last month and by 18 points today.
The contest remains effectively tied in Charlotte, with Clinton now
sea-sawing past Obama, but still within sampling error. And Obama
retains the slightest lead in Southern and Coastal Carolina, where
Obama led by 4 in February, by 8 in March, and by 11 today. Among
voters under age 50, Obama's lead has increased from 19 points last
month to 29 points today. Among voters age 50+, Clinton advances
slightly, from a 4-point lead last month to an 11-point lead today.
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Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13560
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Clinton Does Not Cut Into Obama Lead in North Carolina:
In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina today, 03/11/08, eight weeks to the vote, Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 49% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, before Obama won Virginia, Maryland, and Wisconsin, and before Clinton won Texas and Ohio, the contest in NC is largely unchanged. Then, Obama led by 10, now by 8. In Charlotte, Obama led by 2 points a month ago, by 7 points today. In Southern and Eastern NC, Obama led by 4 points a month ago, by 8 points today. Only in Raleigh and Greensboro did Clinton slice into Obama, trimming his lead from 16 points a month ago to 8 points today. Among women, Obama and Clinton are effectively even, as they were last month. Among men, Obama leads by 13. Clinton leads 5:3 among whites. Obama leads 5:1 among blacks. Obama leads among voters under age 50. The two are tied among voters age 50+. |
Filtering: 2,100 state of North Carolina adults were interviewed 03/08/08 through 03/10/08. Of them, 1,868 were registered to vote. Of them, 713 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/06/08 North Carolina Democratic Primary.
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Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13545
Obama Plays 2nd Fiddle to Clinton in Pennsylvania Democratic Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania today, 03/11/08, six weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 55% to 36%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WHP-TV Harrisburg, and WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre. Obama and Clinton are effectively tied in Southeast PA, which includes Philadelphia, but Clinton leads everywhere else. She is up 2:1 in SW PA, which includes Pittsburgh; is up 5:4 in South Central PA, which includes Harrisburg; is up 4:1 in West Central PA, which includes Johnstown; is up 5:3 in NE PA, which includes Wilkes-Barre; and is up 4:1 in NW PA, which includes Erie. Clinton leads 2:1 among whites; Obama leads 3:1 among blacks. Clinton leads by 5 among men, by 30 among women. She leads by 12 among those under age 50, leads by 26 among those age 50+. On the Economy, which is most important to Democratic voters in PA, Clinton leads by 24 points. On Health Care, next most important, Clinton leads by 32 points. Among voters focused on Iraq, the two are effectively tied.
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Survey USA, North Carolina Democratic Primary
713 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
8 March - 10 March 2008
Margin of Error +/- 3.7%
Obama 49
Clinton 41
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Survey USA, North Carolina Democratic Primary
580 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
11 February 2008
Margin of Error +/- 4.2%
Obama 50
Clinton 40
